NHSDLC秋季PF备赛锦囊II：如何快速找出正反双方的可用论点?

上一篇锦囊中我们带领大家了解一些关于自动驾驶汽车的相关政策，大家都有好好消化吗？

今天就接着以秋季辩题为例来聊聊，当你拿到一个辩题的时候应该如何正确破题，以及快速找出正反双方的可用论点。

How to identify arguments for both sides of the debate？

如何快速找出正反双⽅的可用论点?

#1

Stakeholder Analysis

从核心利益相关者的角度出发

One of the best ways to find arguments quickly is by thinking from the perspectives of different stakeholders. For example, in the fall season, some key stakeholders are:

快速找到论点的其中⼀个有效⽅法是从不同利益相关者的角度思考。例如，在秋季赛的辩题中，自动驾驶汽车的相关利益者包括：

政府角度 Government

●Safety and City Management: Governments may support autonomous vehicles because they can reduce traffic accidents and improve overall efficiency in transportation.

●Economic Benefit and Innovation: From an economic standpoint, governments might support autonomous vehicles as they can boost technological innovation and economic growth. It can help domestic companies grow and also improve the country’s position in global tech competition.

●Policy and Financial:However, governments face challenges too. Implementing autonomous vehicles requires huge investments in infrastructure, such as smart traffic systems and 5G networks.

● 安全与城市管理效率：政府可能会支持自动驾驶，因为这项技术有潜力减少交通事故，提高公共交通的整体效率。

●经济竞争力与创新：政府还会从经济角度考虑，支持自动驾驶可能带来科技创新和经济增长。技术创新不仅能够促进国内企业的发展，还可以提升国家在全球科技竞争中的地位。

●政策挑战与财政压力：但与此同时，政府也面临巨大的政策挑战。推广自动驾驶需要大规模基础设施投资，如智能交通系统、5G网络等。

公众角度 Public

● Safety: The Pro side can argue that autonomous vehicles reduce human error, which significantly lowers accident rates, improving public safety.

● Employment: On the other hand, the Con side can argue that people are concerned about job loss. Autonomous vehicles could replace jobs like taxi and truck drivers, which could lead to unemployment issues.

● 安全性：正⽅可以强调，⾃动驾驶技术能够减少⼈为失误，从⽽显著降低交通事故率，保护公众安全。

● 就业问题：反⽅可以利⽤公众对就业的担忧作为反驳论点。⾃动驾驶的普及将导致传统驾驶岗位的失业，例如出租车司机、卡车司机等。

企业角度 Business

● Innoation and Market Opportunities: The affirmative side might say that supporting autonomous vehicles will drive innovation and increase market competitiveness. Promoting this technology could create more business opportunities and export growth.

● Costs and Return on Investment: The Con side could point out that developing and implementing this technology requires huge costs in terms of infrastructure and research. Many companies may struggle to bear these financial burdens.

● Market Barriers: The Con side could also argue that despite the potential of autonomous vehicles, the market barriers are still high. Companies must overcome technological hurdles and navigate complex regulations.

● 技术创新与市场机遇：⽀持自动驾驶技术的推广可以促进现有的企业创新，提升市场竞争力。如果推动这⼀技术的发展，可以为企业带来广阔的市场机遇并增加出口能力。

● 高额成本与投资回报：高额的基础设施建设和技术研发成本可能是很多企业面临的一大障碍。他们可能因为资金和技术的限制，无法承担如此巨大的成本。

● 市场壁垒：虽然自动驾驶技术有潜力，但现有的市场进⼊壁垒高，尤其是涉及到技术成熟度和法规限制方面。

#2

SWOT Analysis

运用SWOT分析法

SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) is a tool often used in business strategy, but it can also be helpful in debate preparation. Here's how you can apply it to this topic:

SWOT分析（优势、劣势、机会、威胁）是⼀种企业战略工具，帮助人们分析和评估事物的优势（Strengths）、劣势（Weaknesses）、机会（Opportunities）和威胁（Threats)。在辩论中我们也可以使用。针对秋季赛，我们可以分析到自动驾驶：

优势 Strengths

What makes autonomous vehicles special? What are their unique strengths or advantages? For example, they improve road safety and reduce accidents.

自动驾驶技术有什么特别的吗？它有什么独特的能力、资源或优势？

如：自动驾驶能提高交通安全、降低事故率

劣势 Weaknesses

What are the current flaws or limitations of autonomous vehicles? For instance, the technology isn't fully developed yet, and increased support could lead to safety risks (CON).

自动驾驶技术在当下有什么缺陷或不足吗?

如：技术尚未成熟，增加⽀持可能导致高交通风险

机会 Opportunities

What are the current flaws or limitations of autonomous vehicles? For instance, the technology isn't fully developed yet, and increased support could lead to safety risks.

外部环境有哪些因素能帮助我们达成目标呢?这个政策/技术未来有什么潜力呢?

如：推动经济增长、创造新工作机会

威胁 Threats

What external factors could harm the goal? What are the risks or challenges of this policy? For example, it could lead to massive job losses and disrupt the traditional transportation industry.

自动驾驶技术在当下有什么缺陷或不足吗?

如：可能导致大规模失业，冲击传统运输行业